Washington vs. Baylor

Baylor has one of the most explosive offenses in the country behind Heisman Trophy winner RG III. Griffin threw for just shy of 4,000 yards 36 TD passes and just six INT's. Bettors love a big explosive offense and Heisman winners, and they have embraced this Bears team, with nearly 85% of all bets placed on Baylor. But, Heisman winners have historically been bad bets in Bowl games with 70%+ losing against the number. There are a couple of reasons for this. The teams are usually overpriced because the public money will come pouring in on them. And, the opponent will be sky high wanting to have a story to tell, that they beat the Heisman winner. While the Baylor offense is indeed explosive, the defense is equally vulnerable, allowing 30+ points nine times. Washington certainly is capable of scoring plenty here themselves as the Huskies have reached the 30 point mark eight times themselves this season. QB Keith Price threw for 29 TD's, just seven shy of Griffin's mark. The Huskies have been a very good cover team at 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17, including 8-2 ATS in their last 10 December tilts. The Bears  are just 18-37 ATS in their last 55 following an ATS win. Baylor won four games by 7 or less, despite averaging 42 ppg in those four games and Washington is capable of scoring enough to be the 5th team. Go with Washington in this one. Also take the UNDER. This game has a sky-high total and totals over 70 have come in UNDER at a very high clip. Washington has had plenty of time to dial up some surprises for Griffin and despite their good offense and weak defense, the Huskies are 4-1 to the UNDER in their last five games vs. winning teams. They are also 5-2 to the UNDER in their last seven as a dog. Take Washington and the UNDER here.