This pick was released to clients on December 29, 2022 at 12:44PM ET.
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Washington vs. Texas

December 29, 2022
img9:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Steve Sarkisian coached Texas to a winning record in his second season with the school improving to 8-4 straight-up and ATS after finishing 5-7 in 2021. The Longhorns won and covered their final two games, including a 55-14 rout of Kansas and then defeated Baylor 38-27. Texas QB Quinn Ewers threw for 1,808 yards with 14 touchdowns and six interceptions in nine games in his first season with the school and he bounced back well following a poor performance against Oklahoma State. The Longhorns will depend on him in this game as running backs Bijan Robinson and Roschon Johnson have opted-out. Texas is #29 in the country in scoring defense with 21.2 points per game and #28 in rush defense. Washington doesn't have any opt-outs, but its pass defense is #90 in yards allowed per game, which makes the focus on Ewers even more pronounced. Washington QB Michael Penix Jr. has thrown for 4,354 yards and 29 TDs in his first season with the Huskies, who still are 3-1-1 UNDER their past five games and it is a high posted total in this game. Washington allows 26.3 points per game. The Longhorns are 18-6 ATS their past 24 non-conference games and Washington is 1-4-1 ATS versus Big 12 teams. The UNDER is 7-2 in Texas' past nine December games and the Huskies have gone UNDER five of seven bowl games. Take Texas (Max Play), and take this game to stay UNDER.

2 units on Texas -2.5 (-115) (risk 2 to return 3.74)
Result:
LOSS
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 67 -109 (risk 1.5 to return 2.88)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Washington Huskies img
10
3
7
7
27
Texas Longhorns
3
0
7
10
20
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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