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Wake Forest at Navy

October 20, 2007
img1:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Navy has had a very good year so far, and they have proved to be a difficult team to stop offensively. The Middies lead the nation in rushing, averaging 345 yards per game. They seem to be one of the few teams that don’t need to be effective in the air, and still put up a lot of points, to keep drives moving. They have averaged 5.6 yards per carry on the season. Their defense has not been that good, but they seem to get the stops they need and shorten games by running the ball 90% of the time. They played a very good Rutgers team on the road and only trailed by 10 with 11 minutes left before falling. Wake Forest has been self-destructing all season long. The Demon Deacons have turned the ball over 17 times in six games and QB Riley Skinner is having a nightmare of a season. He is completing over 70% of his passes, but has thrown just four TD passes vs. nine INTs. Backup Brett Hodges has been worse, as he has thrown for one TD and three INTs. They lack the game breaker, and when they get in the red zone have difficulty hanging onto the ball. They will be in a role that has not been kind to their backers as they are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 as a favorite. Meanwhile Navy will be wearing the underdog uniforms, in which they have been a profitable 14-5 ATS. This should be a tight game, which gives Navy the edge as they are home getting a FG, so we will back them in this one.

3 units on Navy +3 (-110) (risk 3 to return 3)
Result:
LOSS
1
2
3
4
T
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
0
0
0
0
44
Navy Midshipmen
0
0
0
0
24
odds odds
 
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