Western Kentucky at South Florida

This one certainly has the potential to get real ugly. Western Kentucky is now 0-25 vs. Div-1 teams since deciding to play amongst the ranks of Div-1 NCAAF. They certainly aren't knocking on the door to win No. 1, as they have started 0-2 this season losing by an average of over 30 points per game. South Florida has already eaten one cupcake this season with a 59-14 win over Stony Brook. That runs their total scores to 214-28 in their last four games against no-chance opponents. That is an average margin of 46.5 points per game. This one is likely to get ugly fast, and South Florida has shown that they will put up 50+ in these kinds of games - way more than enough to topple the big number here. The Bulls are 28-11 ATS in their last 39 games when scoring 28+ points (assured here) and they are 10-2 ATS in their last twelve when outgaining opponents by 200+ yards. Skip Holtz is 13-4 ATS in his career when facing teams with bad defenses (allowing 6+ yards per play). The Hilltopers have allowed 7.5 per play thus far. The Bulls roll here.