This pick was released to clients on September 28, 2023 at 10:39AM ET.
img CFB

Virginia Tech at North Carolina

October 1, 2022
img3:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

A classic matchup of stout defense versus an offense that can put up numbers. Virginia Tech is 2-2 leaning on its defense, including a 27-10 ACC win over Boston College. The defense is allowing 17.5 points per game. The Hokies are 39-21 ATS on the road after playing a non-conference game, plus college football road teams like V-Tech that average 3.25 or fewer yards rushing per carry are 147-82 ATS. North Carolina is all about uptempo on offense, but the defense is terrible surrendering 39.5 points per contest. That included giving up 61 points to Appalachian State and last week's 45-32 loss to Notre Dame as a favorite giving up 576 yards (287 rushing). North Carolina is 2-10 ATS at home against defenses that allowed 90 yards rushing or fewer per game, plus 15-39 ATS after scoring 31+ points in two consecutive contests. With Virginia Tech 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings with the Tar Heels, back the superiors defensive team as a dog. Play Virginia Tech.

1.5 units on Virginia Tech +9 (-109) (risk 1.5 to return 2.88)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Virginia Tech Hokies
3
7
0
0
10
North Carolina Tar Heels img
7
17
17
0
41
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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