Virginia Tech at Duke

As we progress into the season, the Hokies are banged-up pretty good. Their last game cost them LB Bruce Taylor - one of the main cogs in their defense. Frank Beamer's team allowed just 40 points in their first four games of a rather soft schedule. But with elevated competition in the ACC, over the last four games they have allowed 89 points or 22.3 points per game. Duke's Sean Renfree has cut down on his INTs this year, having thrown just four so far, and Duke can score enough here to get the cover. Once the annual punching bag in the ACC, the Blue Devils have risen up to be a lot more competitive, while the public and oddsmakers treat them as they were. The result is four covers in their last five games, while the Hokies are not as defensive as we have seen in the past and are just 1-6 ATS in their last six as a favorite. Duke's David Cutcliffe is 25-19 ATS in his coaching career vs. winning teams and 13-4 ATS when facing good defensive teams (those allowing 17 or fewer points per game). Duke sticks around in this one and gets the call.