Virginia at Oregon

Over the years Oregon has been one of the most successful ATS teams in the country, compiling a mark of 228-192-3 at 54.3%. Simply a blind play on this team has been profitable for 35 years running. Over the last nine years, only Alabama, Ohio State and Boise State have won more games than the Ducks, owning a very impressive 71-48-2 ATS mark to cover nearly 60% of all games. With that said, the Ducks have had to lay some huge amounts of points in many of their games. The fact is that when they lay fewer than -27.5 they are almost invincible at 59-32-1 ATS for almost 65%. Virginia is a program that has fallen apart. They won six games or more 21 times over a 24-year period, but have done so just one time in the last eight years. This year is likely to make that eight in nine years, especially after a very humiliating home loss in their opener to FBS Richmond, 37-20. They were never in the game. Richmond piled up an amazing 524 yards in that game on the Cavaliers' home turf. We have all witnessed the speed and explosiveness of the Quack Attack, so this one looks like a huge blowout to me. Lay the points and play on Oregon.