Virginia at North Carolina

Virginia got the monkey off its back in the last game, their first win, 27-13 over William & Mary. But they've struggled against bigger schools, including ugly losses to Tennessee (49-13) and Maryland (42-14). Two QBs, Tony Muskett and freshman Anthony Colandrea, have combined for 10 TDs and 8 interceptions, and they get no help from an anemic running game averaging just 2.7 yards per carry. The defense ranks 93 in yards allowed (412 yards per game), 108th in rush defense (183 yards per game), and 94th on third down (42.03%). Virginia is 18-33 ATS on the road against passing teams averaging 8 or more yards per attempt. Undefeated North Carolina is fifth in the country in yards (501.3 per game) on offense led by QB Drake Maye (12 TDs, 4 INTs) and 10th in points (37.3 per game). And college football favorites of 21.5 to 31 points are 136-77 ATS after scoring 37+ points in three consecutive contests. Play North Carolina.