Vanderbilt at Tennessee

The Vanderbilt Commodores have to wonder what kind of a season they could have had if they had even an average offense. Vanderbilt has allowed just 199 total points through 11 games at 18.1 points per game. Those numbers are great for any team, especially for a defense that spends an inordinate amount of time on the field, due to an inept offense that has produced just 10.7 ppg against FBS opponents. Tennessee has managed a total of just 70 points in their last three games, and while they are strong defensively in their own right, Vanderbilt has scored at least 10 points in each of their last seven games, and doing that here to a big dog line means Tennessee is going to have to get to 28, and that isn't a likely scenario. Vandy owns a 12-3 ATS record in their last 15 on the road vs. a team with a winning home record. The Volunteers come in a woeful 5-17-1 ATS in their last 23 when following a spread win. Take the points on Vanderbilt.