Utah vs. USC

Utah played Florida plus three Top 20 teams this season and lost three of those four games. The one win was against this USC squad, a wild 43-42 victory at home. The Trojans still rolled up 556 yards, including 381 passing yards by QB Caleb Williams, who threw five touchdowns. Utah also lost 29-26 to Florida allowing 451 yards (283 rushing), lost 42-32 to UCLA giving up 502 yards (203 rushing), and lost 20-17 to Oregon. Utah is 30-15 UNDER the total away from home after allowing 75 or fewer rushing yards in the last game, plus 25-10 UNDER after getting 525+ total yards. Meanwhile, the loss to Utah is the only defeat for USC all season. USC's offense is fourth in the nation in total yards (506.8 per game), seventh in passing behind Williams (34 TDs, 3 INTs), and third on third down (.553) and in points (42.5 pg). USC is 2-1 straight up versus Top 20 teams and is 40-23 UNDER the total after a game where they committed no turnovers. The wagering value on the Pac-12 title game from Las Vegas is on the favorite to win a game with more defense than the public expects. Play USC on the moneyline + UNDER the total.