This pick was released to clients on October 01, 2014 at 6:51PM ET.
img CFB

Utah at UCLA

October 4, 2014
img10:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

UCLA is healthy now at QB and are rolling along at 4-0. They've only played one true home game and put up 42 points on a good Memphis team. They come off a 62-27 rout at #15 Arizona State and now face a Utah team that is not elite. They beat Michigan two weeks ago (big deal), then lost at home to Washington State last week, 28-27. The defense allowed 495 yards (417 yards passing) and lost despite winning the turnover battle 3-1. Utah will try and go ball control to chew up yards and the clock, but they face a better UCLA defense than a year ago when they tallied 27 points and just 99 yards rushing in a loss at home. The Utes are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 conference games. Their defense is allowing 19.8 points per game and Utah is on a 9-4 run UNDER the total, plus 7-2 UNDER in PAC-12 contests. The Bruins are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. UCLA's defense is better than it has played and will excel against this run-oriented Utah attack. When these teams meet the UNDER is 4-1 in the last five meetings. Lay the points on UCLA and take the UNDER.

2 units on UCLA -13 (-109) (risk 2 to return 3.83)
Result:
LOSS
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 64.5 -110 (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Utah Utes img
7
10
7
6
30
UCLA Bruins
0
7
7
14
28
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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