Utah at Arizona

There is no doubt that this is a more typical Utah team than we have seen in a recent years, as they have improved tremendously. After scoring 131 points in their first three games vs. some soft teams, Arizona has managed just 44 in their last two as they get into the Pac-12 portion of their schedule. The points are simply not coming as easy. Both of these teams are average offensively and can get enough stops when not playing an elite offense. As a result, I expect this one to be a lot lower scoring than projected. That certainly has been the case for this Arizona team for quite some time as they have played to a 17-5-1 UNDER mark in their last 23 at home vs. a team with a winning road record. Utah has followed suit on the road where they are 5-1 to the UNDER vs. a team with a winning home record. This series solidifies all of that with five of the last six failing to get to the total. Take the UNDER in this one.