Utah State at Idaho

Does it get much worse than this? Here we have two 1-10 teams, that no one outside of Utah and Idaho care about, facing each other. Well, we care today. We think there's a lot of value in this little game. While both teams are bad at 1-10 overall, Utah State has won a conference game while Idaho has not. That win was an impressive road victory at New Mexico State - a game in which they won by 18 points as a 7 point underdog. They held NM State to just 17 points. Idaho lost by 14 to New Mexico State, yielding 45 points. Versus common opponents overall this season, Utah State is 4-3 ATS while Idaho is just 1-6 ATS. Utah scored 3 points more per game vs. these foes and allowed 5 points per game less. In addition, this is a good matchup for Utah State's offense. This team is completing 65% of their passes and Idaho, over the past three seasons, is just 2-11 ATS vs. good passing teams (those averaging 58%+). While Utah State is riding the momentum from their victory over New Mexico State, Idaho is off a 58-14 beatdown at the hands of Boise State. The Vandals are just 1-8 ATS the past two seasons coming off a double-digit loss to a conference rival. We think Utah State is the better team and they are getting points.