Utah State at Fresno State

Big line here but this game could turn out like Fresno's first game of the season against Weber State - a game that ended 55-7. Fresno State, returning 9 offensive and 7 defensive starters from 2004, have come out of the gate hot. They are 3-1 with their lone loss coming at the hands of Oregon on the road - a three point game. In their other three games, they beat Weber State, Toledo and New Mexico State by a combined score of 136-38! Utah State pulled off a win last week against the aforementioned weak San Jose State club but the Aggies are just 4-15 ATS since 1992 after a win. They are also 0-6 on the road after the first month of the season the last two years. Fresno State is 6-0 ATS after a road win the last three seasons and 8-1 ATS following an ATS win this season and last. Home favorites of 21.5 or more points in conference games, with 4+ more total starters returning than their opponent, are 61-23 ATS since 1992. HUGE mismatch here and Fresno will crush Utah State by 40+ points. Two stars on the Bulldogs minus the points.