Utah State at Fresno State

I think the total here is set considerably low, as Utah State heads to Fresno State in Mountain West Conference action. Neither of these teams have shown the capacity to move the ball consistently on the season. In fact, the offensive output, or lack thereof, has pretty much mirrored each other, which tells me this game will likely be strategically played for field position. Fresno State ranks #126 offensively at 292 yards per game, and Utah State hasn't fared much better at #119 and 328 yards per game. You can usually find one thing they are better at run vs. pass, but in this game they are balanced, and inefficient either way. The Aggies are 20-7 to the UNDER after allowing 20 or less in their previous game in their last 27, and 23-8 to the UNDER in their last 31 when following a win. Fresno State is 4-1 to the UNDER in their last five conference tilts, and just one of the last five meetings has eclipsed the total. Back the UNDER.