This pick was released to clients on November 09, 2023 at 3:47PM ET.
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USC at Washington

November 12, 2016
img7:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

USC will have to lean on its defense as it heads to fourth-ranked Washington. USC is 7-2 UNDER the total this season with a defense that has been very good at #38 in the nation in points allowed (23.6 points per game). However, the offense has sputtered away from home against good teams, getting just six points against Alabama on a neutral field, 10 points at Stanford and 27 at Utah. The Trojans lost all three (0-3 ATS) and the team is 8-21 ATS in its last 29 road games. They are also 20-8-2 UNDER the total against a winning team, plus 39-17 UNDER after scoring 40+ points in their previous game. USC is off a win but is just 5-12 ATS when following a victory. They head to a Washington team that is undefeated and flying high. QB Jake Browning (34 TDs, three INTs) leads a strong, balanced attack along with RBs Myles Gaskin (952 yards, 6.3 ypc) and Lavon Coleman (600 yards, 9.1 ypc). The offense is #19 in yards, second in points (48.3 ppg) averaging over 230 yards rushing and passing. Washington's defense is #11 in the nation in points allowed (17 pg) and #18 in total yards. The Huskies are 11-4 UNDER the total at home against a team with a winning road record. The Trojans have failed to cover in their last four trips to Washington and the UNDER is 6-1-1 when these rivals clash. Take Washington and the UNDER.

1.5 units on Washington -8.5 (-105) (risk 1.5 to return 2.93)
Result:
LOSS
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 62.5 -105 (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
USC Trojans img
3
14
0
9
26
Washington Huskies
3
3
7
0
13
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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