This pick was released to clients on September 21, 2023 at 10:29AM ET.
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USC at Oregon State

September 24, 2022
img9:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Unbeaten Oregon State will be sky-high for its Pac-12 opener against No. 7 USC. New coach Lincoln Riley has the USC offense clicking, though there are still questions about this defense. Last year, the Trojans allowed 31.8 points per game and two weeks ago they surrendered 441 yards (221 rushing) to a Stanford squad that was 3-9 in 2021. USC is 5-13-2 ATS on the road against a team with a winning home mark, plus 35-57 ATS away after two or more straight victories. In addition, coach Riley is 5-15 ATS on the road after gaining 6.75+ yards per play in two straight contests. Oregon State has won and covered all three games, including a 34-17 rout of Boise State and beating Freson State as an underdog. The offense is rolling behind QB Chance Nolan (7 TDs, 2 INTs) averaging 34.5 points and 468.3 yards. Oregon State is 9-1 ATS after playing a non-conference tilt, plus 39-22 ATS at home games after one or more consecutive victories. The Beavers crushed USC last season, 45-27, with 535 total yards (322 rushing). The underdog has covered six of the last eight times these rivals have clashed and college football road favorites like USC after a victory are 10-33 ATS when facing a team that has won three or more in a row. Play Oregon State.

1.5 units on Oregon State +6 (-110) (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
USC Trojans img
0
3
0
14
17
Oregon State Beavers
0
7
0
7
14
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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