USC at California

These teams have gone UNDER the last five times they have met following California's 15-14 win in 2018 that went UNDER by 16.5 points. The Golden Bears had stayed UNDER nine of 10 games before barely going OVER last week against Washington State. Cal had scored an average of only 10.2 points its previous four games before beating the Cougars 33-20. Cal's defense is #56 in the country allowing 379.2 total yards and only 20.7 points. However, in terms of offense the Bears are #120 while scoring just 19.1 points per game. Going back further, the UNDER is 13-3 the last 16 meetings, including six of the last seven at California. The UNDER is 19-7 in the Golden Bears' last 26 games overall and 14-3 UNDER in their last 17 conference games. Also, Cal is 8-1 UNDER its last nine against teams with winning records. USC has numerous injuries on defense, but the Trojans still held Arizona State to 2.2 yards per carry and forced three turnovers. Play the UNDER.