UL Monroe at Arkansas State

At 5-5, UL Monroe is in line for a bowl with two games left. The ground game has a solid one-two punch in RBs Ahmad Hardy (975 yards, 4 ypc) and James Jones (331 yards, 4.4 ypc). Monroe averages 159.1 yards rushing per game. They're 4-4 as an underdog this season, including straight-up wins over Alabama-Birmingham (32-6 as a +11 dog), Troy (13-9), and James Madison (21-19 as a +16.5 underdog). Arkansas State is favored though sophomore QB Jaylen Raynor has as many TDs (8) as interceptions. In the last three games, he has just one touchdown and two picks. Over the last five games, the defense has allowed 35 points per game. For the season, the defense ranks 121st in the country in yards allowed (461.6 per game), 113th in rushing yards given up (202 per game), and 18th on third down (48.65%). Arkansas State is on a 4-8 ATS run. Play UL Monroe.