UL Lafayette at Mississippi

The Ragin’ Cajuns aren’t raging about their season. They are allowing 40 points per game and when they lost by 33 at home to lowly Western Kentucky (as a favorite), it showed just how bad things have gotten for this team. This team has already lost to an SEC team in Georgia 55-7, where they generated all of 128 yards of offense. I don't see anything different playing out here either. They are catching Ole Miss at the wrong time off of three straight losses. The Rebels' last lost came to unbeaten Auburn by 20, so you can bet they will be taking those frustrations out on the Cajuns. Houston Nutt coached teams are 13-3 ATS after a loss by 17+ points. His teams are also 21-8 ATS vs. teams that allow 58%+ passing and 7-0 ATS at home vs. teams that allow 31+ points per game. The Rebels have been cash cows out of conference, where they have assembled a highly profitable 9-1 ATS mark in their last 10. They have now come back after a 10+ point loss at home to cover four straight in their next game. Mississippi names the score and wins this one easily.