UCLA at Washington State

Something smells like chicken in this one - and not fresh chicken, either. UCLA is a notoriuos up and down football team, and they are coming off the heels of a huge win against Cal last weekend. UCLA traditionally slips up in situations like this and has a tendancy to overlook teams on their schedule. This plays right into the Cougars hands on their home field. This is a huge game for the Cougs and an opportunity to erase the sour taste in their mouths from an 0-2 start in Pac-10 play. I look for them to come out fired up on their home field against the undefeated Bruins. Road favorites off 5+ straight up wins with an .800+ record on the season are just 17-46 over the last 10 seasons when playing a good team (.600 to .800). Furthermore, underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points coming off a loss, facing an opponent off 4+ straight up wins are 42-10 ATS over the last 5 seasons - that's 80% ladies and gentlemen and reflects what we know here - the public is jumping on UCLA after their strong run and big win last week. Washington State is 10-1 ATS off a game where they forced no turnovers since 1992. The Cougs haven't lost to UCLA at home in 12 years! In fact, UCLA has lost 7 of the last 9 in this matchup overall. The Bruins are in for a dog fight here. Washington State for 4 stars.