Texas-San Antonio at Tennessee

Tennessee had one of the most explosive offenses in the country last year, but a lot of the stars from that side of the ball have departed. The Vols scored 49 points in their opener vs. Virginia but then struggled to score vs. Austin Peay where they were held to 30. Last week vs. Florida, Tennesse managed just 16. Despite the offense not piling up points, the defense has allowed them to out-gain all three opponents. UT San Antonio won 11 games a year ago but doesn't look anything like that team. The Roadrunners are just 1-2 and have yet to cover a game this season at 0-3 ATS. That's a good indication this team is overrated from last year, and the Tennessee defense has looked good. I like Tennessee to win by a big margin here.