Texas-San Antonio at Florida Atlantic

Florida Atlantic is 1-3 and had a surprising game against Tulsa in winning 50-21 in their only home contest of the season so far. Unfortunately, that Tulsa team is allowing 44.3 points per game, so the offensive explosion has less value. The fact is that they have scored just 26 points in their other three games. At 1-2, Texas San Antonio certainly has not displayed much in the way of offense themselves, as they rank amongst the worst in the FBS at #122, averaging just under 280 yards per game. Florida Atlantic may be vulnerable on the back side of their defense, but the Roadrunners have all of 1 TD pass on the season, and just won't be able to take advantage of it. A bigger problem for UTSA is that they have also generated just 347 rushing yards on 120 carries, at less than 3 yards per carry. Owl's QB Jaquez Johnson has just 4 TD passes, but has yet to throw a pick, while the Owls' defense has a pick-6 and safety to its credit on the young season. Ball control, the home field, and a slightly better offense will lead the way for FAU in this one. The Owls have been the best team off a loss of late in the FBS, as they own a stellar 15-2 ATS mark following a loss in their previous game. Moreover, the Owls are a perfect 11-0 ATS after scoring 20 or points less in their previous game, and have been a cover machine overall at 20-6 ATS in their last 26. Texas San Antonio is 7-1 to the UNDER in their last eight on the road, and FAU has recorded an 18-8-1 mark to the UNDER in their last 27 games vs. a losing team. Take both Florida Atlantic and the UNDER in this one.