Tulsa at Toledo

Toledo has gone UNDER in five of its last seven games dating to last season, including last week's 37-24 win at Nevada that went under by 8.5 points. Toledo had a recent history of putting up big numbers which in turn creates high posted totals. The Rockets' defense has been underrated the last couple years as they allowed only 26 points per game last year and 21 the season before. Tulsa's 66-42 win over Louisiana Lafayette is another reason for the high total, but the Golden Hurricane put up only 24 points at Oklahoma State the week before. Tulsa is 5-0 UNDER its last five games against Mid-American Conference teams and the Rockets are 3-0-1 UNDER their last four games following an ATS win. Also, Tulsa is 18-7-1 UNDER its last 26 games after a win of more than 20 points. The Golden Hurricane returns six starters from a squad that improved by allowing 10 fewer points per game in 2016 than the year before. This one stays UNDER.