Tulsa at Hawaii

I realize this is a home game for the Warriors. But, the Golden Hurricane come into the Hawaii Bowl as one of the hottest non-BCS teams in the country. They have won their last six games and covered eight of their last nine. This is a team that has peaked offensively and can score with Hawaii as they are averaging 43.2 ppg in their last six games. They have also covered their last three as a dog including a game they won outright at Notre Dame. Hawaii has won three straight and had a big win vs. Nevada at mid-season, but they were humiliated by Boise State and haven't beaten anyone relevant outside of the Nevada game. Teams that are getting 10+ at this early stage of the Bowl season before New Year's Day games have historically done exceedingly well ATS. Tulsa has averaged 40+ per game in the second half of the season, so Hawaii is going to have to do a lot scoring to cover a big number here. I like Tulsa in this one. I also like the UNDER. Yes, these teams can score, but 73 is a very tall order and the defenses will have had plenty of time to scheme here. Hawaii has held opponents to 22.7 per game on the season (19.4 at home). When facing poor pass defenses the past three seasons (teams allowing 58%+ completions), Hawaii is 10-2 to the UNDER. Over the past two seasons, Tulsa is 8-0 UNDER on the road after an ATS win and 8-1 UNDER after scoring 37+ points last game. My computer matchup predicts a big Hawaii win and an UNDER. I like the dog and the UNDER here.