Tulsa at Central Florida

Central Florida had one of the surprise teams in C-USA a year ago, which was led by a No. 18 ranked defense. They lost a lot of key players from that team on both sides of the ball, but the defense has once again become their calling card, as the unit is now ranked #3 in the country, allowing a stingy 245 yards per contest. The problem is that the offense is not generating as it did a year ago and the Knights stand at just 4-4. But, they should find enough success tonight against a Golden Hurricanes’ defense ranked #109. Since head coach George O'Leary came to town, UCF is 37-25 ATS in conference games and 22-9 ATS when coming off a game in which his team allowed 100 or fewer rushing yards. In his coaching career, O'Leary is 30-15 ATS when coming off a double-digit win over a conference rival. Take the Knights here. The UNDER also looks good. This total is set way too high given UCF's defense. Tulsa has played low off a big 17+ point win, following with a 11-1 mark to the UNDER. They are also 13-3 UNDER on the road the past three seasons. Central Florida’s defense continues to stamp games to the UNDER as they are now 9-2 UNDER in their last 11 games. Under George O'Leary, the Knights are 26-13 UNDER following a game that went UNDER. Take the home team in a low-scoring game.