Troy at Northern Illinois

Take this game for what it's worth. This is the last of the mid-tier teams that will play against one another. UNI plays in the MAC which is a very good conference and should have prepared them well here. Northern Illinois is 20-8 ATS vs. poor passing defenses (those allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse) since 1992. Troy State has scored only 14 points per game on the road this season, posting a 2-4 record. Their defense has been the only saving grace but I think N. Illinois' potent offense (37 PPG / 480 yards on the road) will be able to score enough for the win. Northern Illinois is on a 7-1 run and they are 8-1 ATS after having won 4 out of their last 5 games over the last 3 seasons. One small star on N. Illinois here.