Troy at Missouri

Troy's defense has been poor, allowing 47 points to Southern Miss and last week losing to Arkansas State allowing 50 points and 558 yards. Troy ranks #125 in the nation in pass yards allowed, #87 in points surrendered (29.5 per game). A team like Troy that is off a home loss to a conference rival is 12-37 ATS when facing an opponent off two consecutive home wins by 14+ points. They head to the SEC to face a high-flying Missouri squad that has won three in a row, including a 38-7 beatdown of West Virginia and a 34-14 rout of South Carolina. The defense has allowed just 21 points over the last three games and QB Kelly Bryant leads an offense that is #21 in points scored (38.3 per game), averaging over 199 yards rushing and passing. And Mizzou is 15-5 ATS at home against teams that allow 5.9 yards per play or more. Lay the points and play Missouri.