This pick was released to clients on October 05, 2023 at 6:43AM ET.
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Toledo at Northern Illinois

October 8, 2022
img3:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Toledo comes off its most impressive win of the season defeating Central Michigan 38-17 and covering by 14.5 points and the Rockets went UNDER for the second game in a row. The defense has bounced back in a big way after the Ohio State debacle and the Rockets have allowed only 17 points in each of their last two games. The Chippewas were held to 33 yards rushing on 26 carries while the Rockies piled up 261 yards on 50 carries. DeQuan Finn went 13-for-23 for 186 yards and two touchdowns with no interceptions and ran for 84 yards. Jacquez Stuart added 122 rushing yards for the Rockets. Northern Illinois lost its fourth straight and this one was in overtime to Ball State. The Huskies ran 57 times for 332 yards, including 230 on 30 carries by Harrison Waylee, but in a losing cause. Eight of the last 10 meetings have gone UNDER, including NIU's 22-20 win in 2021 and the Rockets are out to avenge that loss and they have covered seven of 10 road contests and seven of eight overall against teams with losing records. Toledo has stayed UNDER five straight October games. Two plays on this game: Take Toledo, and then make it a Max Play on the UNDER.

1.5 units on Toledo -5.5 (-109) (risk 1.5 to return 2.88)
Result:
WIN
2 units on Game Total UNDER 60 -109 (risk 2 to return 3.83)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Toledo Rockets img
21
14
10
7
52
Northern Illinois Huskies
7
0
0
25
32
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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