Toledo vs. Middle Tennessee State

Bahamas Bowl - Nassau, Bahamas
Middle Tennessee has won four of its last six games to finish .500 both straight up and ATS, including beating Florida Atlantic 27-17 on Nov. 27 as a 3.5-point underdog. The Blue Raiders played two quarterbacks with Nicholas Vittiati completing 12 of 20 for 105 yards and Mike Diliello finishing 12 of 19 for 131 yards and a touchdown. That has mostly been the situation since starter Chase Cunningham suffered a lower leg injury in early November and went out for the season. The Blue Raiders are #53 in total yards allowed and #35 in rushing defense. Toledo has won and covered its last three games although against some weaker competition in the Mid-American Conference. Dequan Finn has 1,862 passing yards with 16 touchdowns and one interception for the Rockets and Bryant Koback has rushed for 1,281 yards and 15 TDs. Toledo is 1-5 ATS its last six December games and has lost its last three bowl games and didn't cover in any of them. Also, Toledo is 0-4 ATS its last four neutral-site games and 3-9 ATS after allowing fewer than 20 points its previous game. The C-USA is a tougher conference than the MAC and we're getting double digits. Play Middle Tennessee State with the points.