Toledo at Massachusetts

Toledo is an impressive 2-2, nearly winning at Notre Dame in a 32-29 loss as a 16-point underdog. With 21 returning starters, they're expected to contend for the MAC title, and they looked good in the conference opener last week when winning at Ball State, 22-12, with 272 rushing yards (6.2 yards per carry). The Rockets are 15-5 ATS as a road favorite and face a terrible Massachusetts team that has lost 15 in a row. UMass has lost all four games in 2021 by a 47.7 to 16.5 average. A college football team like Toledo that just outrushed their last opponent by +150 yards is 68-34 ATS against a team that was just outrushed by 150+ yards in their last game. Play Toledo.