This pick was released to clients on August 31, 2023 at 10:59AM ET.
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Toledo at Kentucky

August 31, 2019
img12:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

This is a tough opener for the Toledo offense, heading to the SEC to face Kentucky. The offensive line dealt with issues in pass protection and for 2019 the top three starting receivers are gone, a trio that caught 27 of the team's 32 touchdown passes. They do have a solid ground attack and will go to that in the opener, which chews up yards and the clock. Toledo is on a 38-22 run UNDER the total on the road, plus 22-10 UNDER on natural grass. Kentucky made a bowl last season but is retooling, losing all-time leading rusher Benny Snell and 12 other starters. QB Terry Wilson (11 TDs, 8 INTs in 2019) is back but ranked #14 in the SEC in passing yards per game (145 per contest), while his wide receiver corps lacks consistent playmakers. And the offensive line lost three starters, including All-American Bunchy Stallings. The 2019 defense ranked sixth nationally in points allowed per game (16.8) and returns most of its key contributors. All of which means look for more defense than offense. Play this one to go UNDER.

1 unit on Game Total UNDER 62 -105 (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
PUSH
Final
1
2
3
4
F
Toledo Rockets
7
7
3
7
24
Kentucky Wildcats img
0
14
10
14
38
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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