This pick was released to clients on October 08, 2014 at 7:55PM ET.
img CFB

Toledo at Iowa State

October 11, 2014
img3:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Iowa State owns just one win on the season, and that 3-point win over Iowa looked a lot bigger at the time, but Iowa has not performed as anticipated. The Cyclones lost to a good FCS team in North Dakota State, but you can't lose at home by 20 to a FCS team and expect to compete on this level. So far they haven't been able to. Toledo comes into this game at 4-2, losing to Cincinnati and Missouri, which is certainly nothing to be ashamed of. The Rockets have a balanced and explosive offense with QB Logan Woodside, and RB Kareem Hunt who is generating 8.9 yards per carry. There lies the problem for the Cyclones who have given up 207 yards per game on the ground at 4.75 yards per carry. The Cyclones have not had much success vs. winning teams where they own a 3-8-2 ATS mark in their last 13 against them. This is a tough matchup for Iowa State, and with Texas and Oklahoma up next, they may be out of focus as well. Make your play on Toledo.

1 unit on Toledo +3 (+100) (risk 1 to return 2)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Toledo Rockets
3
10
7
10
30
Iowa State Cyclones img
6
3
14
14
37
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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