This pick was released to clients on September 28, 2023 at 10:39AM ET.
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Toledo at BYU

September 30, 2016
img10:15 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Unbeaten Toledo looks better than good, with a great defense that has allowed 30 points in three games, while the offense clicks for over 42 per game. The undervalued Rockets are on a 15-4-2 spread run, including 10-1 ATS on the road. QB Logan Woodside (11 TDs, one INT) has been sharp and now has 31 TDs to nine picks in his college career. Meanwhile RBs Kareem Hunt, Art Thompkins and Damion Jones-Moore all average over 5.2 yards per carry, chewing up yards and the clock. Toledo is 21-7 UNDER the total on natural grass. They face an inconsistent BYU offense that has turned the ball over too much, as QB Taysom Hill has already thrown seven interceptions. They turned it over three times in a 20-19 loss to Utah and had four giveaways in last week's loss to West Virginia. BYU had only 273 yards in a 17-14 loss to UCLA the previous week. The defense has played well, holding their first three opponents to fewer than 20 points, and the Cougars have forced 11 turnovers. BYU is 13-3 UNDER the total after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game, plus 18-3 UNDER in Friday night games. Take Toledo and UNDER the total.

1 unit on Toledo +4 (-105) (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
WIN
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 53 -105 (risk 1.5 to return 2.93)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Toledo Rockets
14
7
17
15
53
BYU Cougars img
21
0
14
20
55
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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