Both team needs this for different reasons. Toledo's season is over with a loss. Bowling Green can take their division title with a win. Toledo is 1-4 ATS on the road this season. BG is scoring 34 per game at home. Both of these teams have played weak competition and fared about the same. The difference here is home field in a game with no competition for national attention. Home conference favorites off a blowout upset win by 21 or more points are 41-14 (75%) ATS since 1992. Bowling Green is 10-1 ATS at home off a win by 21 or more points since 1992. One star on the Falcons.