Toledo at Ball State

The MAC opener. Despite a losing record, Toledo has been impressive, almost upsetting No. 8 Notre Dame on the road losing 32-29 as a +16 dog. With 21 returning starters to a team that averaged 35 points in 2020, they have a shot to win the MAC. Toledo was second in the MAC in total offense (494 yards per game), first in passing offense (325.8 passing yards per contest). The defense is also loaded with depth and experience, holding Notre Dame to 3.4 yards per rush while forcing 3 turnovers. Toledo is 14-5 ATS as a road favorite, 18-7-1 ATS after allowing fewer than 170 yards passing in their last game. Ball State also has a losing record after getting blasted at Penn State (44-13) and Wyoming (45-12). QBs John Paddock and Drew Pitt have 2 TDs, 4 picks. Ball State is on a 9-18 ATS run at home, plus 13-27 ATS at home after getting outgained by 125+ total yards in the last game. And the road team is 10-3 ATS when these rivals clash. Play Toledo.