This pick was released to clients on September 09, 2015 at 10:36AM ET.
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Toledo at Arkansas

September 12, 2015
img4:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Arkansas opens the season with three straight games in its home state, rolling over UTEP last week (48-13) and now gets to feast on a MAC school. While Arkansas has a game under its belt, Toledo really does not, as their contest against Stony Brook was called in the second quarter because of lightning and thunderstorms. The Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last five games in September. The Rockets are also playing an SEC opponent for the fourth time, going 0-3. They opened the 2013 season by losing at Florida 24-6 and Missouri 38-23, then lost to Missouri 49-24 at home last season. Bret Bielema's Arkansas team is loaded with nine starters back on offense, and seven on defense. The ground attack is deadly, averaging 218 yards rushing last season (#26 in the nation) and return junior RBs Jonathon Williams (1,190 yards, 5.6 ypc) and Alex Collins (1,100 yards, 5.4 ypc). And the defense vastly improved to just 19 points per game. The Arkansas defense has allowed only 41 points in its last five contests. Arkansas is on a 6-1 ATS run, 6-0 ATS in non-conference games, and 10-2 ATS on fieldturf. All Arkansas in this one.

1 unit on Arkansas -20.5 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Toledo Rockets img
6
3
7
0
16
Arkansas Razorbacks
0
7
0
5
12
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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