Toledo at Akron

Akron has won more games this season than they have the last three years combined, and they are 3-1 in their last four. This team has become average from the line of scrimmage, and certainly not the pushover we saw the previous three years. They are going up against a much better Toledo team, however, the Rockets are off their Game of the Year against Northern Illinois at home, and they lost. To illustrate that, a team from week 9 out that just played an unbeaten team in their last game, as a home dog and now are a road favorite vs. a team below .400, are 13-20 ATS at -20 or less. If their winning percentage is greater than .620 (meaning they had a chance against the unbeaten team), they are 1-6 ATS. Huge letdown spot for Toledo here. Make the play on Akron.