Texas Tech at Texas

The Red Raiders pulled off perhaps the biggest upset of the season a couple of weeks back when they beat Oklahoma on the road as a 29-point underdog. It has held the number down in this one as they take to the road to do battle with the Texas Longhorns. Tech opened the season at 4-0 with a very soft pre-conference schedule, but despite beating the Sooners, they have dropped each of their other three Big-12 contests to stand at just 1-3. Last week they managed just 7 points in a blowout loss at Iowa State. The Horns’ defense has been quite impressive this season. They may have not been up to the task against powerhouse offenses in Oklahoma and Oklahoma State, but no one else has gone for more than 20 against them. And, the 38 points they allowed to Oklahoma State were the lowest output by the Cowboys in five conference games this season. I would expect the struggling Red Raiders will have a difficult time scoring many in this one. Tech has not fared well on the road as a dog in recent games where they are now just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 as a road dog, and typically it is because they don't score much. In those same 10 games they are also 7-3 to the UNDER. The Longhorns are improving and are getting it done as a favorite where they are 5-1 ATS in their last six. Their defense has risen up to allow for a profitable 15-7-1 mark to the UNDER in their last 23 vs. winning teams. Tommy Tuberville-coached teams have a long history of low-scoring affairs vs. good defenses as his teams are 20-8 to the UNDER vs. teams that allow 310 or fewer yards per game. Play on Texas and take the UNDER in this one.