Texas Tech at Missouri

The Texas Tech Red Raiders are a lot better than their last two games showed. The good news is that those last two games have pushed this line sky high. They had an expected letdown vs. Texas after beating a then-unbeaten Oklahoma team on the road. Then the No. 2 team in the nation in Oklahoma State was ready for them last week in a complete scrubbing. Tech played some tough teams close losing by 5 to Texas A&M and 7 to Kansas State. So, Tech is much better than they are being given credit for here in my opinion. Missouri is a good team, but not one of the elite teams in the Big-12. They have just one conference win by more than 12 points. The Red Raiders are now 45-20-1 ATS in their last 66 off a straight-up loss. That includes an amazing 19-5 ATS mark when coming off a home loss. Meanwhile the Tigers are just 7-15 ATS following an ATS win. We clearly have an overlay here. Take Texas Tech to stay inside this large number.