This pick was released to clients on December 22, 2021 at 3:15AM ET.
img CFB

Texas Tech vs. Mississippi State

December 28, 2021
img6:45 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

LIBERTY BOWL - Mississippi State had a five-game ATS win streak snapped in a 31-21 loss to Mississippi in the annual Egg Bowl, but the Bulldogs still average 449.6 yards per game and 30.9 points. Will Rogers threw for 4,449 yards and 35 touchdowns with eight interceptions this season (75.1% completion rate). Rogers had 336 passing yards against the Rebels, but he came up short. Mississippi State has the #23 offense in total yards and #3 in passing yards. Mike Leach was never known for having great defensive teams, but the Bulldogs are #22 in the country in yards allowed while giving up 25.3 points per game. Texas Tech, where Leach coached from 2000-09, has the #91 defense and allows 32.1 points and was beaten 70-35 by Texas earlier in the season. The Red Raiders lost four of their last five games to finish 6-6, and they are 1-5 ATS their past six December games and 2-8 ATS their last 10 bowl games. Also, Texas Tech is 7-15 ATS its past 22 neutral-site games. Mississippi State has covered four of five following a loss, and the Red Raiders have given up more than 50 points three times this year. Play Mississippi State.

1 unit on Mississippi State -9.5 (-109) (risk 1 to return 1.92)
Result:
LOSS
Final
1
2
3
4
F
Texas Tech Red Raiders img
10
3
14
7
34
Mississippi State Bulldogs
0
7
0
0
7
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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