Texas Tech at Iowa State

Texas Tech is quietly rolling, on a 5-1 SU/ATS run. That included a win at Oklahoma State (41-17) as a +14 dog and a 17-14 upset at TCU as a +7 underdog. They come off a 48-16 rout of Kansas, and the Red Raiders are 9-3 ATS after scoring 40+ points in their previous game. Texas Tech's offense is fourth in the nation in yards (552 per game) and seventh in points (43.9 per game). The Texas Tech defense has been one of the best in the nation in coming up with stops in the red zone, #26 allowing no points on 23.8% of red zone possessions. They've given up a touchdown on only 47.6% of red zone possessions, ranking #21 in the nation. The Red Raiders have won both their road games allowing 15.5 points per game, part of a 5-1 run UNDER the total away from home. They face an impressive Iowa State defense, off a 30-14 win over West Virginia and ranked #16 at stopping the run while allowing just 22.7 points per contest. The Cyclones are on an 8-3 run UNDER the total in Big 12 play, plus 24-9 UNDER after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. The road team has covered five of the last seven meetings, while the underdog is on a 4-1 ATS run. So back the visiting dog in a defensive duel. Play Texas Tech and the UNDER.