Texas State at UL Lafayette

The Ragin' Cajuns come into this one as a double-digit chalk despite having the worse record of the teams engaging in this contest. That may have something to do with the fact that Lafayette has played Arkansas and Kansas State. The Bobcats have three wins, but Prairie View A&M and Southern Miss (a team that hasn't won a game since 2011) hardly mean much. The Bobcats did, however, put a sting on Wyoming last week, but the most likely scenario following that win is a big letdown - especially on the road. Texas State is run-dependent on offense, as they have used four players to attempt a pass, and in four games have just two TD throws. QB Terrance Broadway has experience, and a complimentary running game, and that balance will be the difference in this one. The Cajuns will stack the box and dare the Bobcats to throw, which they haven't been able to do all season. The Cajuns have owned turf, as they are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 playing on it. Take UL Lafayette.