This pick was released to clients on September 28, 2023 at 10:39AM ET.
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Texas State at Southern Miss

September 30, 2023
img7:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Texas State is off to a strong start with a potent offense (30 points per game) averaging over 400 yards behind QB T.J. Finley (8 TDs, 1 INT), RB Ismail Mahdi (399 yards, 11.1 ypc), and mobile QB/RB Malik Hornsby (146 yards, 13.3 ypc). College football home underdogs like Southern Miss that allow 35+ points per game are 17-46 ATS after scoring 37+ points in the last game. Southern Miss is 110th in the nation in yards on offense and 107th in scoring (17.7 PPG), while the defense is 110th in yards given up (433 per game) and 126th in points surrendered (43.7 per game). And CFB home teams like the Golden Eagles that are getting outscored on average by double-digits are 13-39 ATS after scoring 37+ points in the previous contest. Play Texas State.

1.5 units on Texas State -5.5 (-109) (risk 1.5 to return 2.88)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Texas State Bobcats img
28
14
0
8
50
S. Miss Golden Eagles
3
7
6
20
36
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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