Texas State is off to a strong start with a potent offense (30 points per game) averaging over 400 yards behind QB T.J. Finley (8 TDs, 1 INT), RB Ismail Mahdi (399 yards, 11.1 ypc), and mobile QB/RB Malik Hornsby (146 yards, 13.3 ypc). College football home underdogs like Southern Miss that allow 35+ points per game are 17-46 ATS after scoring 37+ points in the last game. Southern Miss is 110th in the nation in yards on offense and 107th in scoring (17.7 PPG), while the defense is 110th in yards given up (433 per game) and 126th in points surrendered (43.7 per game). And CFB home teams like the Golden Eagles that are getting outscored on average by double-digits are 13-39 ATS after scoring 37+ points in the previous contest. Play Texas State.
This pick was released to clients on September 28, 2023 at 10:39AM ET.
CFB
Texas State at Southern Miss
September 30, 2023
7:00 PM Eastern
1.5 units on Texas State -5.5 (-109) (risk 1.5 to return 2.88)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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