Texas State at Georgia State

Texas State is a double-digit dog, but it has an excellent offense scoring 34, 33, 21, and 28 points in the last four games. They lost just 29-20 to open the season against Baylor as a two-TD underdog and come off a 31-28 loss to Troy as a +7.5 underdog. Texas State is on an 8-3 spread run and is 10-1 ATS after allowing 200+ yards rushing in their last game. They will score on a bad Georgia State defense that lost 45-16 to Appalachian State in their last home game, along with a 43-10 defeat to Army as a favorite. College football home teams like Georgia State that outscore their opponents by 7+ points per game are 14-38 ATS after scoring 37+ points in the previous contest. Play Texas State.