Texas State at Arkansas State

Revenge game! Texas State stunned Arkansas State last season as a +6 dog, winning 45-27. But that was a .500 Arkansas State squad, while this year's team has been outstanding, winning seven in a row -- most by blowouts. The Texas State Bobcats have lost seven of nine, coming off a 38-31 defeat at Idaho. The biggest factor in the loss was the poor pass defense for the Bobcats. The Bobcats allowed QB Matt Linehan to get comfortable all day for the Vandals, finishing with 309 passing yards and two touchdowns. Texas State is 1-4 ATS in conference play, plus 0-5 SU/ATS on the road, as well as 4-1-1 OVER the total away from home with that poor defense. The Arkansas State Red Wolves are undefeated in conference play (7-0), with all wins coming by double-figures. The Arkansas State offense has been explosive all season, averaging 39 points per game (#15 in the nation). On Saturday night, the Red Wolves topped the New Mexico State Aggies 52-28, part of a 5-1 ATS run in Sun Belt action. Arkansas State is also 28-11-1 ATS after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game, plus 23-5 OVER the total in Sun Belt play. Lay the points on Arkansas State and also take the OVER.