Texas vs. Georgia

SUGAR BOWL - This is a tough spot for Georgia. They had Alabama on the ropes leading by 14 and let it slip away again just like last year. It is going to be a bit harder for this team to focus here. Georgia's vaunted offense vs. the top three defensive opponents on their schedule averaged just 23.7 points per game. While they were 7-0 at home, the Bulldogs were just 4-2 on the road, where their offense dropped significantly and their stout defense bent. Texas held Oklahoma under 40 points after the Sooners went eight straight going for 40+. I think the Longhorns can keep the Bulldogs away from 30 points. Tom Herman coached teams are 12-2 ATS as an underdog. Plus, at Texas, Herman is 8-1 UNDER as an underdog. And dating back to the 2016 season, the Longhorns are 25-13 to the UNDER. Play the Longhorns and take the UNDER.