Texas at Oklahoma State

Brandon Weeden and Justin Blackmon may be playing in the NFL but, much like Oregon, OSU is a system that can reload quickly. While the names might change, the results of the offense do not. The Cowboys have already scored 62.3 points per game and average an unbelievable 700 yards of offense per game. Granted the schedule has not been very strong, but there is no doubt that this team is very potent. Texas has been down for a few years, but they now have a strong tandem running attack. However, I believe the QB is the wrong one. David Ash won the job over Case McCoy and has done well against weak competition, but the Cowboys are an opportunistic, risk-taking defense that led the nation in turnover margin last season. Ash could be in trouble here as he has shown the propensity to make poor decisions. Texas isn't as good as their stats might indicate. They have outscored opponents by a ton, but they have played to an average line of -27. And, without a 7-to-1 turnover advantage in their three games, the numbers wouldn't l ook nearly as good. The Longhorns are just 4-10 ATS in their last 14 conference games, and the Cowboys’ team speed translates a lot better on field turf where they are 28-11 ATS in their last 39. The Cowboys have now covered 20 of their last 25 games after scoring 50+ last game. Meanwhile, under Mack Brown, the Longhorns are just 16-26 ATS after they score 50+ the previous game. Play on Oklahoma State.