Texas A&M at Texas

It has been a long time since the Aggies have had the better team coming into this huge Thanksgiving rivalry. Texas was ranked at the beginning of the season, but most of that was based on reputation. A 5-6 record later and the Horns have lost their mojo. Texas A&M is peaking at the right time, largely due to a change at QB where Ryan Tennehill has done two things. First, he has improved the Aggie passing game from the line of scrimmage. Second, he manages the game better than his predecessor. The result is that the Aggies have covered five straight. Texas has a tough defense, but the offense hasn't yet come around. Garrett Gilbert has been pedestrian at best with just nine TD passes and 15 INT's on the season. The Longhorns are suffering versus good teams with a 2-9 ATS mark in their last 11 versus teams over .500. Also, this team is just 19-30 ATS under Mack Brown when coming off a home win by 17+ points. I like Texas A&M in this one.