Texas A&M at Arkansas

The Texas A&M Aggies appear to be as strong as advertised, particularly on offense where they have scored at least 38 points in each of their first three games. The biggest obstacle they may face is playing against better competition, capable of slowing their potent offense, and capable of scoring themselves, as the Aggies allowed UNLV to score 27 and Ball State to score 23. Arkansas closed last season allowing 62 points in their last six games. Last year they took A&M to overtime on a neutral field, and last week trailed Texas Tech by just 4 points with two minutes left. They are defensively capable of slowing down A&M, and at the same time are a strong defensive force, as most are in the SEC. As a result I think the oddsmakers have been a bit too generous with the line in this one. The Aggies are just 4-11 ATS in their last 15 at a neutral site, and the Razorbacks have shown life vs. winning teams at 10-3 ATS in their last 13. Take the points on Arkansas.